Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001118 0.001207 0.001303 0.001412 0.001535 0.001669 0.001827
2025-12-07 0.000975 0.001091 0.001222 0.001380 0.001569 0.001787 0.002064
2025-12-14 0.000889 0.001020 0.001172 0.001364 0.001603 0.001894 0.002282
2025-12-21 0.000816 0.000954 0.001118 0.001332 0.001606 0.001955 0.002442
2025-12-28 0.000734 0.000869 0.001033 0.001251 0.001539 0.001915 0.002459
2026-01-04 0.000677 0.000811 0.000977 0.001201 0.001505 0.001911 0.002520
2026-01-11 0.000642 0.000777 0.000948 0.001184 0.001510 0.001960 0.002657
2026-01-18 0.000615 0.000753 0.000929 0.001177 0.001529 0.002027 0.002826
2026-01-25 0.000671 0.000840 0.001062 0.001387 0.001868 0.002592 0.003841
2026-02-01 0.000629 0.000793 0.001010 0.001332 0.001818 0.002561 0.003878
2026-02-08 0.000596 0.000756 0.000971 0.001293 0.001786 0.002557 0.003960
2026-02-15 0.000576 0.000737 0.000955 0.001288 0.001806 0.002635 0.004197
2026-02-22 0.000553 0.000714 0.000937 0.001282 0.001833 0.002744 0.004538
2026-03-01 0.000525 0.000683 0.000905 0.001255 0.001825 0.002793 0.004774
2026-03-08 0.000503 0.000660 0.000883 0.001241 0.001836 0.002876 0.005096
2026-03-15 0.000479 0.000633 0.000854 0.001212 0.001820 0.002907 0.005313
2026-03-22 0.000445 0.000591 0.000800 0.001141 0.001726 0.002783 0.005164
2026-03-29 0.000421 0.000561 0.000764 0.001098 0.001675 0.002737 0.005188
2026-04-05 0.000406 0.000544 0.000746 0.001082 0.001673 0.002786 0.005443
2026-04-12 0.000394 0.000531 0.000734 0.001076 0.001689 0.002869 0.005800
2026-04-19 0.000427 0.000587 0.000831 0.001260 0.002074 0.003779 0.008639
2026-04-26 0.000406 0.000560 0.000796 0.001213 0.002010 0.003702 0.008634
2026-05-03 0.000389 0.000538 0.000768 0.001178 0.001970 0.003675 0.008782